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The AI horse race remains in its early stages in 2026, with no clear frontrunner.
Predicting an outright winner at this juncture is premature due to the rapid pace of development and geopolitical complexities.
Competition for Self Improving AI
The United States and China are currently locked in a race to build "self improving AI," highlighting what is at stake globally, as reported in "The US and China are racing to build ‘self improving AI’. Here’s what’s at stake." This competition defines the current landscape for advanced AI development. GeoGazet tracks 100 total events related to this contest.
Geopolitical Influence and Stance
Current global influence regarding AI governance and development is highly fragmented, reflected by an influence score of 17/100. China openly criticises the idea that it is in "malicious competition" over AI, indicating a contested narrative around the nature of this technological race.