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The US China trade war continues in 2026, but its direct global influence has significantly diminished compared to prior years.
Global trade flows are increasingly shaped by diversification and other regional or multilateral dynamics.
Shifting Global Trade Landscape
The ongoing US China trade tensions have spurred trade diversification among other nations. Canada's exports to China, for instance, rose 30 percent in the first half of 2026 amid the Trump trade war. BRICS nations concurrently urge smooth flow of global trade, supply chains, and energy.
Diminished Direct Impact
The direct global influence of the US China trade war is currently low, with an influence score of 29 out of 100. While US China trade frictions persist, global trade narratives also include issues like Kenya's crackdown on foreign traders. This indicates a broader, more complex global trade environment.