When Does the Iran Nuclear Deal End
The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, does not have a single definitive end date but rather a series of sunset clauses.
Key restrictions on Iran s conventional arms expired in October 2020, and ballistic missile related sanctions lapsed in October 2023.
Remaining Sunset Clauses
The UN Security Council resolution underpinning the deal was set to expire in October 2025. Broader restrictions on Iran s uranium enrichment capacity and related safeguards measures were originally envisioned to expire between 2030 and 2040. However, the deal s original framework is largely defunct as of 2026.
Geopolitical Implications
The deal currently operates under a "Current influence score" of 63/100, reflecting its diminished impact. Geopolitical factors further complicate any potential revival, with "Iran Gulf diplomacy hits a setback" (GeoGazet tracking). Regional stability is fragile, evidenced by "Strait of Hormuz talks postponed due to Yemen events" (GeoGazet tracking).